Nguva pfupi yadarika, zvigadzirwa zvemakemikari zvakawanda muChina zvakawana imwe nhanho yekuwedzera, ine zvimwe zvigadzirwa zvichishandisa kuwedzera kwegumi muzana. Uku kururamisa kutsiva mushure mekudzikira kwekunyanyisa kwegore rinenge riri padanho rekutanga, uye haina kugadzirisa maitiro ese emusika kuderera kwemusika. Mune ramangwana, iyo Chinese yemakemikari yechigadzirwa inogara isina kusimba kwenguva yakareba.
Octanol anoshandisa acrylic acid uye synthesis gasi seyakagadzirwa uye mamwe maitiro. Iyo Downstream inonyanya kushandiswa mumunda wepaplastics, yakadai saDioctyl terephthalate, Dioctyl phthalic acid, etc.c.Tsm / Doa uye mamwe minda.
Musika weChinese une huwandu hwakanyanya hwekutarisisa kune octocanol. Kune rimwe divi, kugadzirwa kweOctocani kunoperekedzwa nekugadzirwa kwezvigadzirwa senge butanil, izvo ndezvevakidzora zvigadzirwa uye zvine simba romusika. Kune rimwe divi, sechigadzirwa chakakosha chevapurasitiki, zvine simba rakananga pane sosi yepurasitiki yemutengi.
Mugore rapfuura, iyo Chinese Octics musika wakasangana neakakosha mutengo, kubva pa8550 yuan / ton to 10750 yuan / ton, ine huwandu hwe 24.3%. Pana June 9, 2023, iyo yakaderera mutengo yaive 8650 Yuan / ton, uye mutengo wepamusoro waive 10750 Yuan / ton musi waFebruary 3, 2023.
Mugore rapfuura, mutengo wemusika weOctoctaated zvakanyanya, asi iyo yakakwira amplitude chete 24%, iyo yakaderera zvakanyanya pane kuderera kwemusika wepamoyo. Uye zvakare, iyo avhareji mutengo mugore rapfuura yaive 9500 yuan / ton, uye parizvino musika wakadarika mutengo wepakati, zvichiratidza kuti kuita kwakazara kwemusika kwakasimba kupfuura gore rapfuura mugore rapfuura.
Mufananidzo 1: Mutengo wekutora weOcanol musika muChina mugore rapfuura (unit: rm / ton)

Zvichakadaro, nekuda kwemutengo wakasimba wemusika weOctanol, purofiti yekugadzira yakazara yeOcanol inoverengerwa kuve yakakwira. Maererano neiyo Fort Formula yeProfyle, iyo Chinese OcticE Octanol Market yakachengeta yakakwira purofiti mugore rapfuura. Avhareji purofiti maratidziro eChina Octies Octicus Musika Indasitiri ndeye 29%, ine huwandu hwepamhepo purofiti ye40% uye madiki purofiti, kubva munaKurume 2022 kusvika munaJune 2023 kusvika June 2023.
Inogona kuoneka kuti kunyangwe mitengo yemusika yakadzikira, kugadzirwa kweOctoction kuchiri padanho rakanyanya. Kuenzaniswa nezvimwe zvigadzirwa, iyo purofiti yemubhadharo we octocuol kugadzirwa muChina yakakwira kupfuura iyo avhareji zvigadzirwa zvemakemikari eropa.
Mufananidzo 2: Profit shanduko yeActional muChina pamusoro pegore rapfuura (unit: RMB / ton)

Zvikonzero zveiyo inogara yakakwirira mwero we octocanol kugadzirwa pundutso seinotevera:
Chekutanga, kuderera kwemitengo yezvinhu zvakakura zvakanyanya kupfuura izvo zveOctanol. Sekureva kwehuwandu, propyle in china yakaderera ne 14.9% kubva muna Gumiguru 2022 kusvika June 2023, nepo Octanol mitengo yakawedzera ne0.08%. Naizvozvo, kuderera kwemitengo yezvinhu zvakaburitswa kwakatungamira mukuwedzera mari yeOctanol, iyo zvakare chikonzero chakakosha kuona kuti profits e outanol anogara akakwira kumusoro.
Kubva pa2009 kusvika 2023, iyo yekuchinja kwemutengo yePropylene uye Octocanol kuChina yakaratidza maitiro asingachinjiki, asi musika we outanol aive nemusika wakakura uye kujairika kwemusika wekuparadza. Zvinoenderana neyekubvumirwa kweiyo data, iyo yakakodzera mwero wekutenderera muPropertyne uye Octanol misika ndeye 68.8%, uye kune imwe kuwirirana pakati pevaviri, asi kuwirirana hakuna kusimba.
Kubva pane iyo pazasi, inogona kuoneka kuti kubva muna Ndira 2009 kusvika kuna December 2019, iyo yekuchinja mafambiro uye inowedzera yePropylene uye octally zvaive zvisingawirirane. Kubva pane iyo data yakakodzera panguva ino, iyo yakakodzera pakati pezviviri zviri mukati me86%, zvichiratidza kuwirirana kwakasimba. Asi kubvira 2020, Octanol ane zvakawanda zvakanyanya, izvo zvakasiyana zvakanyanya nehunhu hwekuchinjika hweProclene, icho chiri chikonzero chikuru chekuderera pakati pezviviri izvi.
Kubva 2009 kusvika June 2023, mutengo wekutora weOcanol uye Propyone kuChina Fluctuated (Unit: RMB / TON)

Kechipiri, mumakore achangopfuura, iyo itsva yekugadzira mari mumusika weOcanol muChina yakagumira. Sekureva kwedata yakakodzera, kubva 2017, kwave pasina matsva ecanil zvishandiso muChina, uye huwandu hwakawanda hwekugadzira hwasara hwakasimba. Kune rimwe divi, kuwedzera kweEctock octocano inoda kutora chikamu mukugadzira gasi, inogumira mabhizinesi matsva mazhinji. Kune rimwe divi, kukura kunononoka kwespornstrea misika yemutengi yakakonzerwa nerutivi rwemutengo wemusika weOcanol usatungamirirwa nekudirwa.
Pamungambo kuti china yeChina octiction yekugadzira haina kuwedzera, iyo yekupa uye inodakadza mumusika we octock zvakareruka, uye nharo dzemusika hadzikurudzirwe, izvo zvinotsigirawo purofiti yekugadzira yeOctanol musika weOcanol.
Mutengo weChiedza weOcanol Market kubva 2009 kusvika pa2009 kusvika pa95 Yuan / ton kuna 17855 renji rakanyanya, iro rinoratidzawo huwandu hukuru hwekusagadzikana kwemitengo yeOctanol Market. Kubva 2009 kusvika June 2023, iyo avhareji mutengo weOcanol muChinese Market yakanyorwa kubva 9300 yuan / ton kusvika 9800 yuan / ton. Iko kubuda kwenzvimbo dzinoverengeka inflection mune zvakapfuura zvinoratidzawo rutsigiro kana kuramba kwe outanol avhareji mitengo yekuchinja kwemusika.
Pakazosvika June 2023, iyo avhareji mutengo wemusika weOcanol muChina yaive 9300 yuan per ton, iri mukati meiyo yepakati yemutengo wemutengo wemakore gumi nematatu apfuura. Iyo nhoroondo yakaderera point yemutengo ndeye 5534 yuan / ton, uye iyo Inflection point ndeye 9262 Yuan / ton. Izvi zvinoreva kuti, kana iyo Octanol Market Mutengo uchiramba kuderera, iyo yakaderera pfungwa inogona kunge iri iyo yekutsigira mwero weizvi kutsika maitiro. Nekudzokorora uye kusimuka kwemitengo, yayo yenhoroondo yemutengo we9800 Yuan / ton inogona kuve chikamu chekupokana kune mutengo wekuwedzera.
Kubva 2009 kusvika 2023, iyo mutengo mutengo weOcanol muChina yakachinjika (Unit: RMB / ton)


Muna 2023, China inowedzera seti nyowani yeOcanol midziyo, iyo ichavhuna zvinyorwa zveAccuol Octanol mumakore mashoma apfuura uye inotarisirwa kuwedzera iyo isina kunaka hype mamiriro mumusika we octanol. Uyezve, mukutarisira kwekushaya simba kwenguva refu mumusika wemakemikari, zvinotarisirwa kuti mitengo yeOcanol muChina inoramba isina kusimba kwenguva yakareba, iyo inogona kuisa imwe kudzvanywa purofiti pane yakakwirira.