Muchikamu chekutanga chegore rino, musika wakapfava wepolyether wakaratidza maitiro ekutanga kusimuka uye nekudonha, nemutengo wepakati wepakati unonyura.Zvisinei, nekuda kwekuoma kwezvinhu zvakasvibiswa EPDM muna March uye kukwira kwakasimba kwemitengo, misika yakapfava yefuro yakaramba ichikwira, nemitengo inosvika 11300 yuan / ton muhafu yekutanga yegore, kupfuura zvinotarisirwa.Kubva munaNdira kusvika Chikumi 2026, avhareji mutengo wefoam polyether yakapfava mumusika weEast China yaive 9898.79 yuan/ton, kudzikira kwe15.08% zvichienzaniswa nenguva yakafanana gore rapfuura.Muhafu yekutanga yegore, mutengo wemusika wakaderera mukutanga kwaNdira waiva 8900 yuan, uye musiyano wemutengo pakati pepamusoro uye wakaderera wekupedzisira waiva 2600 yuan/ton, zvishoma nezvishoma kuderedza kusagadzikana kwemusika.

Kuderera kwenzvimbo yemutengo wemusika kunonyanya kukonzerwa nekukwevera kwekuderera kwemitengo yezvinhu zvakasvibirira, pamwe nemugumisiro wemutambo pakati pehuwandu hwekutengesa kwemusika uye "tarisiro yakasimba uye chokwadi chisina simba" kudiwa.Muhafu yekutanga ya2023, iyo yakapfava bubble musika inogona kukamurwa kuita yakaderera maitiro epamusoro nhanho uye yekuvhunduka kumashure nhanho.
Kubva muna Ndira kusvika kutanga kwaKurume, kushanduka kwemitengo kwakakwira
1. The raw material EPDM inoramba ichikwira.Munguva yeMutambo weChirimo, kuendeswa kwezvinhu zvekuchengetedza kwezvakatipoteredza kwaive kwakatsetseka, uye mitengo yaichinja-chinja uye yakawedzera.Mukutanga kwaKurume, nekuda kwekugadziriswa kwezvinhu zvakaita sechikamu chekutanga cheHuanbing Zhenhai neBinhua, kupihwa kwaive kwakasimba, uye mitengo yakakwira zvakanyanya, ichityaira musika wakapfava wefuro kuti urambe uchikwira.Muhafu yekutanga yegore, mitengo yakakwira.
2. Mhedzisiro yemagariro evanhu iri kupera zvishoma nezvishoma, uye misika ine tarisiro yakanaka yekudzoreredza kwedivi rekudiwa.Vatengesi vakagadzirira kutsigira mitengo, asi musika uri bhiza kutenderera Mutambo weChitsuwa, uye zvakaoma kuwana yakaderera-mutengo wekutengesa mumusika mushure mezororo.Panguva ino, kudiwa kwepasi kwakadzikira, kuchengetedza kudiwa kwakasimba kwekutenga, kunyanya kudzokera kumusika panguva yeMutambo weChirimo, zvichikwevera pasi pfungwa dzemusika.
Kubva pakati paKurume kusvika Chikumi, kuderera kwemitengo kwakadzikira uye kushanduka kwemusika zvishoma nezvishoma
1. Hutsva hutsva hwekugadzira zvinhu zvakasvibirira EPDM zvakaramba zvichiiswa mumusika, uye mafungiro emabhizimisi ari bearish.Muchikamu chechipiri, zvishoma nezvishoma zvakakanganisa kugoverwa kweEPDM mumusika, zvichiita kuti mutengo weEPDM uderedze uye uchityaira mutengo we soft foam polyether market kuderera;
2. Kudzika kwemvura kunodiwa kwakadzikira pane zvaitarisirwa muna Kurume, uye kukura kweodha yepasi kwakaganhurirwa muna Kubvumbi.Kutanga kubva muna Chivabvu, yakapinda zvishoma nezvishoma mune yechinyakare off-mwaka, ichikwevera pasi kudzika kwakadzika kwekutenga pfungwa.Musika wepolyether wakawanda mukugovera, uye kuwanikwa kwemusika uye kudiwa kunoramba kuchikwikwidza, zvichikonzera kuderera kwemitengo.Mazhinji matura epasi anozadzikiswa sezvinodiwa.Kana mutengo uchidzoka kubva padanho rakaderera, zvinotungamira mukutengwa kwepakati mukudzika kwemvura kudiwa, asi zvinogara kwehafu yezuva kusvika pazuva.Mukutanga kwaChivabvu padanho rino, nekuda kwekushomeka kwezvinhu zvakasvibirira zveEPDM uye kuwedzera kwemutengo, musika wakapfava wepolyether wakawedzera ne600 yuan/tani, ukuwo musika wepolyether wainyanya kuratidza kudonha kwemitengo, nemitengo ichitevera maitiro. .
Parizvino, polyether polyols ichiri munguva yekuwedzera simba.Sezvo yehafu yekutanga yegore, gore negore kugadzirwa kwe polyether polyols muChina kwakawedzera kusvika mamiriyoni 7.53 matani.Fekitori inochengetedza kugadzirwa kunoenderana nekutengesa zano, ine mafekitori makuru anowanzo kushanda nemazvo, nepo mafekitori madiki uye epakati nepakati haana kunaka.Chiyero chekushanda cheindasitiri chakakwira zvishoma pane 50%.Kuenzaniswa nezvinodiwa, kuwanikwa kwemusika wakapfava wepolyether kwagara kwakawanda.Kubva pamaonero ekuda kudzika kwemvura, sezvo pesvedzero yemagariro inodzikira zvishoma nezvishoma, vemukati meindasitiri vane tarisiro pamusoro pezvinodiwa muna 2023, asi kudzoreredzwa kwechigadzirwa cheindasitiri muhafu yekutanga yegore hazvisi sezvaitarisirwa.Muhafu yekutanga yegore, iyo huru yepasi pesponji indasitiri yaive yakaderera yekutanga Mutambo weChirimo usati wasvika, uye vhoriyamu yekutenga mushure meMutambo weChirimo yaive yakaderera pane yaitarisirwa.Pakudiwa kwekuverenga kubva Kurume kusvika Kubvumbi, uye yechinyakare off-mwaka kubva May kusvika June.Kudzoreredzwa kweindasitiri yesiponji muhafu yekutanga yegore yaive yakaderera zvakanyanya pane zvaitarisirwa, ichikwevera pasi pfungwa yekutenga.Parizvino, nekukwira nekudonha kwemusika wakapfava webubble, kutengwa kwakawanda kwakadzika kwachinja kune kuomarara kwekutenga, nekutenderera kwekutenga kwevhiki imwe kusvika maviri uye nguva yekutenga yehafu yezuva kusvika kune rimwe zuva.Shanduko mumadhizaini ekudzika kwekutenga zvinhu zvakakanganisawo kushanduka kwazvino mumitengo yepolyether.

Muhafu yechipiri yegore, musika wakapfava wepolyether unogona kuderera zvishoma uye mitengo inogona kudzoka.
Muchikamu chechina, nzvimbo yemusika yegiravhiti inogona zvakare kuona kushaya simba kushoma, sezvo musika uchichinja-chinja mumutambo wekupa-yekuda nekukanganisa kwezvakatipoteredza kwezvakagadzirwa.
1. Pakupera kwemhete C, imwe nyowani yekugadzira mhete C yakaiswa mumusika zvishoma nezvishoma.Pachine hutsva hwekugadzira huwandu huchaburitswa muchikamu chechitatu.Zvinotarisirwa kuti kugoverwa kwezvinhu zvakasvibirira EPDM kucharamba kuchiratidza kukwira kumusoro muchikamu chechitatu, uye maitiro emakwikwi achawedzera kuwedzera.Panogona kunge kuchiri kuderera zvishoma pamusika, uye yakapfava foam polyether inogona kurova pasi diki munzira;Panguva imwecheteyo, kuwedzera kwekugoverwa kwezvinhu zvakasvibirira EPDM zvinogona kukanganisa huwandu hwekuchinja kwemitengo.Zvinotarisirwa kuti kusimuka nekudonha kwemusika wakapfava webubble kucharamba mukati me200-1000 yuan/ton;
2. Musika wekutengesa wefoam polyether yakapfava inogona kuramba ichichengetedza yakaringana kudiwa mamiriro.Muchikamu chechipiri chegore, mafekitari makuru muShandong uye kumaodzanyemba kweChina ane zvirongwa zvekugadzirisa kana nguva dzemunharaunda dzekutengesa zvakasimba mumusika wepolyether, izvo zvinogona kupa rubatsiro rwakanaka rwemafungiro evashandisi kana kutyaira kuwedzera kuduku mumusika.Kutenderera kwezvinhu pakati pematunhu kunogona kutarisirwa kusimba;
3. Nekuda kwekuda, kutanga kubva pachikamu chechitatu, misika yakadzika zvishoma nezvishoma ichibva kunze kwechinyakare kunze kwemwaka, uye mirairo mitsva inotarisirwa kuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma.Chiitiko chekutengesa uye kusimba kwemusika wepolyether zvinotarisirwa kuvandudza zvishoma nezvishoma.Zvinoenderana neindasitiri inertia, makambani mazhinji ari pasi pemvura anotenga zvigadzirwa pachine nguva mumwaka wepamusoro apo mitengo yakakodzera muchikamu chechitatu.Kutengeswa kwemusika muchikamu chechitatu kunotarisirwa kuvandudzwa kana ichienzaniswa nekota yechipiri;
4. Kubva pakuongororwa kwemwaka wepolyether yakapfava, mumakore gumi apfuura, misika yakapfava yefuro yakawana kuwedzera kukuru kubva munaJuly kusvika munaOctober, kunyanya munaSeptember.Sezvo musika uchipinda zvishoma nezvishoma mune yechinyakare "goridhe nine sirivheri gumi" inoda peak mwaka, zvinotarisirwa kuti misika yekutengeserana icharamba ichivandudza.Muchikamu chechina, maindasitiri emotokari uye chipanje anotarisirwa kuona kuwedzera kwekukura kwehurongwa, achigadzira rutsigiro padivi rekuda.Nekuwedzera kunoramba kuchienderera mberi munzvimbo yakapedzwa yezvivakwa uye kugadzirwa kweindasitiri yemotokari, inogona kusvika pamwero wakati kutyaira kudiwa kwemusika kweakapfava foam polyether.

Zvichienderana nekuongorora kuri pamusoro, zvinotarisirwa kuti musika wakapfava wepolyether unozodzokera zvishoma nezvishoma mushure mekusvika kuzasi muhafu yechipiri yegore, asi nekuda kwemwaka wemwaka, pachave nemaitiro ekugadzirisa pakupera kwegore.Pamusoro pezvo, muganho wepamusoro wekutanga musika kudzoserwa hauzove wakanyanya kukwirira, uye mutengo wepakati unogona kunge uri pakati pe9400-10500 yuan/ton.Maererano nemaitiro emwaka, nzvimbo yakakwirira muhafu yechipiri yegore inogona kuonekwa munaSeptember naOctober, asi iyo yakaderera inogona kuonekwa munaJuly naDecember.