Izvo zvakaonekwa kuti mitengo yezvigadzirwa zvemakemikari pamusika inoramba ichidzikira, zvichikonzera kusaenzana kwekukosha mune dzakawanda zvinongedzo zveketani yeindasitiri yemakemikari.Mitengo yemafuta yakaramba ichikwira yakawedzera kudzvanywa kwemitengo pacheni yeindasitiri yemakemikari, uye hupfumi hwekugadzirwa kwezvinhu zvakawanda zvemakemikari hwakashata.Nekudaro, mutengo wemusika wevinyl acetate wakaonawo kuderera kunoramba kuripo, asi purofiti yekugadzira yakaramba yakakwira uye hupfumi hwekugadzira hwakanaka.Saka, sei inogonavinyl acetatemusika chengetedza yakakwira mwero webudiriro?

Kubva pakati kusvika pakupera kwaJune 2023, mutengo wemusika wevinyl acetate i6400 yuan/ton.Zvinoenderana nematengo ematengo ezvigadzirwa zveethylene nzira uye nzira yecalcium carbide, iyo purofiti muganho weethylene nzira vinyl acetate ingangoita 14%, nepo purofiti muganho wecalcium carbide nzira vinyl acetate iri mukurasikirwa.Zvisinei nekuramba uchidzikira mumutengo wevinyl acetate kwegore, iyo purofiti muganho weethylene yakavakirwa vinyl acetate inoramba yakakwira, inosvika pakakwirira se47% mune dzimwe nguva, ichiva iyo yepamusoro purofiti yemuchero pakati pemakemikari akawanda.Kusiyana neizvi, iyo calcium carbide nzira yevinyl acetate yave iri mukurasikirwa kweakawanda emakore maviri apfuura.

Nekuongorora shanduko mumigumo yepurofiti ye ethylene based vinyl acetate uye calcium carbide based vinyl acetate, zvinoonekwa kuti ethylene based vinyl acetate yagara ine pundutso mumakore mashoma apfuura, ine purofiti yepamusoro inosvika 50% kana pamusoro uye avhareji. profit margin level inosvika 15%.Izvi zvinoratidza kuti ethylene yakavakirwa vinyl acetate yave iine pundutso mumakore maviri apfuura, ine budiriro yakanaka yese uye yakagadzikana purofiti margin.Mumakore maviri apfuura, kunze kwemhindu huru kubva munaKurume 2022 kusvika Chikunguru 2022, nzira yecalcium carbide yevinyl acetate yanga iri mukurasikirwa kwedzimwe nguva dzese.Kubva munaChikumi 2023, iyo purofiti yedanho re calcium carbide nzira vinyl acetate yaive yakapotsa 20% kurasikirwa, uye avhareji yepurofiti yekamuti yecalcium carbide nzira vinyl acetate mumakore maviri apfuura yaive kurasikirwa ne0.2%.Kubva pane izvi, zvinogona kuonekwa kuti kubudirira kwe calcium carbide nzira yevinyl acetate yakashata, uye mamiriro ose ari kuratidza kurasikirwa.

Kuburikidza nekumwe kuongorora, zvikonzero zvikuru zvekubatsira kwakanyanya kwe ethylene yakavakirwa vinyl acetate kugadzirwa ndeaya anotevera: chekutanga, chikamu chemitengo yezvakagadzirwa mumhando dzakasiyana dzekugadzira zvinosiyana.Mune ethylene nzira yevinyl acetate, iyo unit inoshandiswa ethylene ndeye 0.35, uye iyo unit inoshandiswa yeglacial acetic acid ndeye 0.72.Zvinoenderana neavhareji mutengo mwero muna Chikumi 2023, ethylene inosvika makumi matatu nenomwe muzana yemutengo we ethylene based vinyl acetate, ukuwo glacial acetic acid inoita makumi mana neshanu muzana.Naizvozvo, nekuda kwekukanganisa kwemutengo, kushanduka kwemutengo kweglacial acetic acid kune kukanganisa kukuru pakuchinja kwemutengo we ethylene based vinyl acetate, inoteverwa ne ethylene.Panyaya yekukanganiswa kwemutengo we calcium carbide method vinyl acetate, mutengo we calcium carbide ye calcium carbide nzira vinyl acetate account inosvika 47%, uye mutengo we glacial acetic acid ye calcium carbide method vinyl acetate accounts inosvika 35% .Nokudaro, mu calcium carbide nzira yevinyl acetate, kuchinja kwemutengo we calcium carbide kune simba guru pamutengo.Izvi zvakasiyana zvakanyanya nekukanganisa kwemutengo we ethylene nzira.

Chechipiri, kudzikira kwezvakagadzirwa ethylene uye glacial acetic acid kwakakosha, zvichikonzera kudzikira kukuru kwemitengo.Mugore rapfuura, mutengo weCFR Northeast Asia ethylene wakadzikira ne33%, uye mutengo weglacial acetic acid wakadzikira ne32%.Zvisinei, mari yevinyl acetate inogadzirwa ne calcium carbide nzira inonyanya kumanikidzirwa nemutengo we calcium carbide.Mugore rapfuura, mutengo we calcium carbide wakadonha nekuwedzera 25%.Naizvozvo, kubva pakuona kwemaitiro maviri akasiyana ekugadzira, iyo mbishi mari yevinyl acetate inogadzirwa ne ethylene nzira yakadzikira zvakanyanya, uye kuderedzwa kwemutengo kwakakura kupfuura iyo ye calcium carbide nzira.

Kunyange zvazvo mutengo wevinyl acetate wakaderera, kuderera kwayo hakuna kukosha semamwe makemikari.Maererano nekuverenga, mugore rapfuura, mutengo wevinyl acetate wakawa ne59%, iyo inogona kuita seyakakosha, asi mamwe makemikari akawana kuderera kukuru.Ikozvino isina kusimba mamiriro emusika wemakemikari weChinese inonetsa kuchinja zvakanyanya.Zvinotarisirwa kuti mune ramangwana, pane mukana wakakura wekuti purofiti yekugadzirwa kwemusika wevatengi wekupedzisira, kunyanya zvigadzirwa zvakaita se polyvinyl doro uye EVA, zvichachengetwa nekumanikidza purofiti yevinyl acetate.

Pane kusaenzana kwakakomba kweindasitiri yemakemikari, uye zvigadzirwa zvakawanda zviri mumutengo wakakwira asi musika wevatengi une husimbe, zvichikonzera kushomeka kwehupfumi.Nekudaro, kunyangwe yakatarisana nematambudziko, iyo vinyl acetate musika yakaramba yakakwira mwero wemubairo, kunyanya nekuda kwechikamu chakasiyana chemitengo yezvigadzirwa mukugadzira kwayo uye kudzikiswa kwemutengo kunokonzerwa nekudzikira kwemitengo yezvinhu.Nekudaro, iyo isina kusimba mamiriro emangwana eChina kemikari musika inonetsa kuchinja zvakanyanya.Zvinotarisirwa kuti mune ramangwana, pane mukana wakakura wekuti purofiti yekugadzirwa kwemusika wevatengi, kunyanya zvigadzirwa zvakaita se polyvinyl doro uye EVA, zvichachengetwa nekumanikidza purofiti yevinyl acetate.