Muna Gumiguru, iyo phenol uye ketone indasitiri chain yaive mukuvhunduka kwakasimba sese.Iyo chete MMA yezvigadzirwa zvepasi zvakaramba mumwedzi.Kusimuka kwezvimwe zvigadzirwa kwaive kwakasiyana, neMIBK ichikwira zvakanyanya, ichiteverwa neacetone.Mumwedzi, maitiro emusika wezvakagadzirwa pure benzene yakaramba ichidzikira mushure mekukura, uye chikamu chepamusoro cheEast China nhaurirano yakasvika 8250-8300 yuan/ton mumazuva gumi ekutanga.Pakati uye pakupera kwemazuva gumi egore, misika yakaisa migumisiro yakaipa.Vagadziri vepasi vanonetseka kugaya kuwedzera kwezvinhu zvakabikwa.Musika wakachena webenzene wadzikira, izvo zvine chekuita nemaitiro emusika wephenol.Panyaya ye phenol, musika mumwedzi wakakanganiswa nemhepo yemhepo, mutengo wedivi uye yekugovera uye yekuda maitiro.Tichifunga nezvekushaikwa kwerutsigiro rwemutengo, bisphenol A musika manzwiro haana kukwirira, indasitiri haina tariro nezve musika weramangwana, uye kutengeserana nekudyara kuri kupera simba.Panguva imwecheteyo, kunyange zvazvo mutengo webisphenol A wakasimuka pamwedzi pamwedzi weOctober, kutarisa kwese kwakanga kusina kusimba, uye kugovera kwaitarisirwa kuwedzera.Nekudaro, yakadzika PC uye epoxy resin yakaramba ichidzikira, kunyanya nekuda kwezvibvumirano zvekushandisa.Musika webisphenol A kwaive kushomeka kwekusimudzira.Zvimwe zvigadzirwa zvinotungamirwawo nemaitiro ese eiyo maindasitiri cheni.
Tafura 1 Chiyero Rondedzero yeKusimuka uye Kudonha kwePhenol Ketone Indasitiri Chain muna Gumiguru

Mufananidzo we data source: Jin Lianchuang

Kuongorora pamusoro pekusimuka uye kudonha kwe phenol ketone industry chain munaOctober

Data source: Jin Lianchuang
Sezvinoratidzwa mumufananidzo uri pamusoro, maererano nehuwandu hwemwedzi wepakati wemutengo wekukwira uye kudonha kwephenol uye ketone industry chain munaOctober, masere zvigadzirwa zvakasimudzwa nenomwe uye zvakadonha neimwe.

Data source: Jin Lianchuang
Mukuwedzera, maererano nemwedzi pamwedzi wevhareji wehuwandu hwematengo e phenol uye ketone industry chain munaOctober, kuwedzera kwechigadzirwa chimwe nechimwe kunodzorwa mukati me15%.Pakati pazvo, kukwira kweMIBK, chigadzirwa chepasi, ndicho chinonyanya kuoneka, asi kukwira kwebenzene yakachena, chigadzirwa chepamusoro, chakatetepa;Mumwedzi, musika weMMA chete wakadonha, uye mutengo wepakati wepakati wakadonha 11.47% mwedzi pamwedzi.
Yakachena benzene: Mushure memaitiro akajairwa emumba pure benzene musika wasimuka muna Gumiguru, wakaramba uchidzikira.Mukati memwedzi, mutengo weSinopec wakanyorwa we pure benzene wakawedzera ne350 yuan/ton kusvika pa8200 yuan/ton, ukazodzikira ne750 yuan/ton kusvika 7450 yuan/ton kubva Gumiguru 13 kusvika kupera kwemwedzi uno.Mumazuva gumi okutanga, oiri yepasi rose yakaramba ichikwira, uye styrene yezasi yainyanya kugadziriswa.Vatengesi vepasi vaingoda kuunganidza uye kupa rutsigiro rwemusika.Musika wakachena webenzene wakakwira mumutengo, uye musika wekuEast China wakataurirana kuti mutengo wepamusoro waizokwira kusvika pa8250-8300 yuan/ton, asi kukwira kwemusika hakuna kuenderera.Pakati nepakati nekupera kwemazuva gumi, mafuta epasi rose akadonha, musika webenzene wekunze wakashanda zvisina simba, uye styrene yezasi yakarohwa nehana, zvakaita kuti musika wekuEast China udzoke ku - yuan/ton, uye musika webenzene wakatanga kuramba uchiramba.Kubva munaGumiguru 28, East China pure benzene market negotiation reference i7300-7350 yuan/ton, musika mukuru kuNorth China i7500-7650 yuan/ton, uye chinangwa chikuru chekutenga order i7450-7500 yuan/ton. .
Zvinotarisirwa kuti misika yakachena ye benzene ichave isina simba mumazuva gumi ekutanga aNovember, uye misika ichave isina kugadzikana mumazuva gumi echipiri.Muhafu yekutanga yegore, ndiro yekunze yebenzene yakachena yakanga isina simba, uye kushanda kwezasi kwe styrene kwakanga kusina simba.Kuwanikwa kwe pure benzene muEast China Port kwakaunganidzwa, uye chikamu chitsva cheShenghong Petrochemical chakanga chaiswa mukushanda.Kupihwa kweiyo benzene yakachena mumusika kuchawedzera, uye kurongeka kwakarongwa kwemamwe mayunitsi ezasi kuchawedzera.Iko kudiwa kwe pure benzene kunodzikira kana zvichienzaniswa nenguva yapfuura.Iyo yekugovera uye yekudiwa yakakosha haina kusimba.Musika wepamusha wakachena benzene unotarisirwa kuramba usina simba.Pakati nepakati nekupera kwemazuva gumi, kana mitsva yemumba yakachena benzene zvishandiso zvakatangwa sezvakarongwa, kuwanikwa kwemusika kunokwira zvishoma nezvishoma uye kukwikwidza kwemusika kunowedzera.Panguva imwecheteyo, mamwe maturusi ezasi akarongwa kuti atangezve uye kuwedzera, kudiwa kweiyo benzene yakachena kuchawedzera kuwedzera, kugovera uye kudiwa kwakakosha kuchavandudzwa, uye musika wepamusha webenzene uchazununguswa nekurongekazve munguva pfupi.Panguva imwecheteyo, musika unofanirwawo kutarisisa maitiro emafuta asina kuchena epasirese, uye purofiti uye kurasikirwa nekushanduka kweiyo yakadzika maindasitiri cheni.
Propylene: Muna Gumiguru, iyo yakakwira yemusika wepropylene yakadonha, uye mutengo wepakati wakawedzera zvishoma kana uchienzaniswa nemwedzi wapfuura.Kubva pakuvhara kwezuva rechimakumi matatu nerimwe, kutengeserana kukuru muShandong kwakanga kwasvika 7000-7100 yuan/ton, pasi pa525 yuan/ton kana zvichienzaniswa nekuvhara kwemwedzi wapfuura.Kuchinja kwemitengo muShandong mumwedzi kwaive 7000-7750 yuan/ton, ine amplitude ye10.71%.Mumazuva gumi ekutanga emwedzi uno (1008-1014), misika yepropylene yakatungamirirwa nekutanga kusimuka uye kuderera.Pakutanga, oiri yepasirese yakaramba ichikwira, uye musika mukuru wepropylene waive padivi rakasimba, nekuita kwakanaka kwekuda.Zvinhu zvakakosha zvakadzorwa nepurofiti.Kupihwa uye kudiwa zvakakosha kwanga kusiri pasi pekumanikidzwa, uye mabhizinesi ekugadzira akaramba achikwira kumusoro.Mushure mezvo, maitiro emafuta epasi rose epasi rose uye polypropylene remangwana akadzikira, uye kuwanikwa kwenzvimbo kwakawedzera.Dzvinyiriro pamafekitari ega ega kuti atumire ngarava yakawedzera, zvichitungamira kudzikira nekukwevera pasi mafungiro emusika.Kufarira kutenga kwepasi kwakadzikira, uye kupera simba kwemusika kwakadzikira.Pakati uye pakupera kwemazuva gumi (1014-1021), musika wepropylene wakanyanya kudzikamiswa, uine gwara rakajeka pane zvakakosha uye kushomeka kwekupa uye kudiwa.Kutanga, mutengo wepropylene wakaramba uchidonha mukutanga, uye mafungiro emugadziri pakugadzirisa mutengo zvishoma nezvishoma akasimuka.Iyo yakadzika inoda kuzadza imba yekuchengetera pamutengo wakaderera, uye mamiriro ekutengeserana emusika akanaka;Chechipiri, Shandong PDH yekuvhura nekuvhara nhau inosanganiswa, nekusava nechokwadi kwakasimba.Vashandisi vanongwarira mukutengesa, uye vanonyanya kuona musika zvine mwero, nekushomeka kudiki.Pakupera kwemwedzi (1021-1031), musika wepropylene wakanyanya kusimba.Nekuda kwekusaenzana pakati pekupa uye kudiwa, kuwanikwa kwenzvimbo kwakawedzera, kudzvanywa kwekutakura kwakakwira, makwikwi emitengo akaenderera mberi, zvichitungamira kudzikira kuti ukurudzire kutakurwa, uye pfungwa dzemusika dzese dzakadhonzerwa pasi.Mukuwedzera, nzvimbo dzakawanda dzinobatwa nezviitiko zvehutano hwevanhu, uye pasi pemvura inongoda kutenga, saka mamiriro ekutengeserana emusika anova asina simba.
MunaNovember, marongero emari kubva kuhupfumi hukuru hweEurope neAmerica, zvirango zvemafuta ekuMadokero kweRussia uye kuitwa kweOPEC + chibvumirano chekudzikisa kugadzirwa uye zvimwe zvinhu zvinofurira zvaive zvakaoma, uye kusagadzikana kwese kwaive kwakasimba.Zvaitarisirwa kuti mafuta asina kuchena aizoratidza maitiro ekutanga kuzvidzora obva asimuka, achitarisa pakuchinja kwemutengo uye kukanganiswa kwepfungwa.Padivi rekupa, kuwedzera kuchiri maitiro makuru.Kutanga, kuchengetwa uye kuchengetedza kwezvimwe zvikamu zve dehydrogenation muShandong zvinotarisirwa, asi kusava nechokwadi kwakasimba, saka zvinokurudzirwa kunyatsoteerera kune iyo mune ramangwana;Chechipiri, nekutanga kweTianhong uye kutangazve kweHSBC, hutsva hutsva hwekugadzira huchabudiswa zvakanyanya, uye mamwe magadzirirwo emunharaunda anotarisirwa kutangazve, uye kugovera kunogona kupora;Chechitatu, zviitiko zvehutano hweveruzhinji zvaiitika kazhinji munzvimbo huru dzekugadzira propylene, izvo zvaive nemhedzisiro pakukwanisa kwekufambisa.Inokurudzirwa kunyatsoteerera kune kuchinja kwezvinhu.Kubva pakuona kwekuda, yakapinda mumwaka wekuda kunonoka mwaka, uye kudzika uye kwekupedzisira kudiwa kwepolypropylene kwakadzikira, izvo zviri pachena kuti zvakadzora kudiwa kwepropylene;Mukudzika kweindasitiri yemakemikari, mamwe propylene oxide uye acrylic acid zvidyarwa zvinotarisirwa kuiswa mukugadzirwa.Kana vakaiswa mukugadzira sezvakarongwa, kudiwa kwepropylene kunowedzerwa.Jinlianchuang anotarisira kuti mutambo wekupa uye wekuda wemusika wepropylene uchawedzera munaNovember, uye mashandiro acho achatongwa nekukatyamadzwa kwakasimba.
Phenol: Musika wemumba phenol wakadzikira pamwero wepamusoro muna Gumiguru, uye kushanduka kwemusika kwakakanganiswa nemhepo yemhepo, mutengo wedivi uye kupa uye kudiwa maitiro.Munguva yezororo, oiri yepasi rose uye simba nemakemikari zvigadzirwa zvaive zvakasimba, uye mamiriro emusika wemakemikari aive akanaka.Mushure mezororo, mutengo wakanyorwa weSinopec pure benzene wakasimudzwa.Tichifunga nezve kushomeka kunoramba kuripo kwezvinhu zvinotengeswa, vagadziri vakuru ve phenol vakapa mitengo yakakwira, uye musika wakakwira nekukurumidza munguva pfupi.Nekudaro, pakarepo mutengo wemafuta asina kuchena wakaramba uchidzika, uye chikamu cheindasitiri yesimba nemakemikari chakatambura nekukanganisa.Mutengo wekunyora weSinopec pure benzene wakadonha kakawanda mumwedzi, zvichikonzera musika wakanyanya wakashata.Zvakanga zvakaoma kuti vagadziri vezasi vatore kuwedzera kwezvinhu zvakabikwa, uye musika wemvura wakadzikira zvakanyanya.Kunyanya, mazuva epakati uye ekupedzisira gumi egore akapinda mumwaka wekunonoka, uye materminal maodha matsva akange asina kunaka.Kusaendeswa zvakanaka kwezvidyarwa zvephenol pasi pemvura kwakakonzera kuwedzera kusinganzwisisike kwechigadzirwa chekugadzira uye kudzikira kwakanyanya kwekuda kwezvinhu.Tichifunga nezvekushaikwa kwerutsigiro rwemutengo, bisphenol A musika manzwiro haana kukwirira, indasitiri haina tariro nezve musika weramangwana, uye kutengeserana nekudyara kuri kuita kushaya simba uye kupera simba.Nekudaro, chiteshi chengarava chakaramba chakaderera, kudzoserwa pachiteshi kwaive kwakadzikira pane zvaitarisirwa, uye huwandu hwese hwekushanda hwemabhizinesi epamba phenol ketone hwakanga husina kukwirira, uye nzvimbo yakasimba yekupa yakatsigira mutengo wekuchengetedza.Kubva munaGumiguru 27, musika wephenol muEast China wakanga wataurirana pamusoro pe10,300 yuan/tani, pasi pe550-600 yuan/ton mwedzi pamwedzi kubva munaGunyana 26.
Musika wemumba phenol unotarisirwa kuve usina simba uye kusagadzikana munaNovember.Tichifunga nezvekudzikira kwechikamu chemutengo uye kuomerwa kwekuvandudza kudiwa kwekupedzisira munguva pfupi, musika unodzoserwa hauna simba, uye maitiro ekushaya simba uye kudiwa kunogona kuenderera.Iyo itsva phenol yekugadzira simba yeWanhua muChina inotarisirwa kushandiswa muna Mbudzi gore rino, kuwedzera kumirira-uye-kuona mamiriro eindasitiri.Nekudaro, mabhizinesi ekugadzira phenol ane kushomeka kwekuda kudzikisa mitengo, uye iyo yakaderera port hesiti zvakare ine kumwe kutsigirwa.Pasina kuwedzera kupokana pakati pekupa uye kudiwa, pane nzvimbo shoma yekuenderera kuderera kwemutengo.Iyo yakadzika bisphenol A yekugadzira simba inoramba ichikura, uye zvipingaidzo kubva kudivi rekudiwa zvinogona kudzikiswa.Zvinotarisirwa kuti mutengo we phenol uchachinja zvishoma muna Mbudzi, saka zvinofanirwa kutarisisa kuteedzera kwenhau huru, mutengo wedivi, musika wekupedzisira uye mabhizinesi akadzika.
Acetone: Muna Gumiguru, musika weacetone wakasimuka pakutanga ndokudonha, uchiratidza inverted V maitiro.Pakupera kwemwedzi uno, mutengo wemusika kuEast China wakanga wakwira 100 yuan/ton kusvika 5650 yuan/ton kana zvichienzaniswa nekupera kwemwedzi wapera.Nekuda kwekusimba kwemafuta epasi rese panguva yezororo reZuva Renyika, iyo mbishi pure benzene yakakwira zvakanyanya, uye musika weacetone wakavhurwa kumusoro mushure mezororo.Kunyanya, nzvimbo yekugovera yakaramba yakasimba.Vabati vezvinhu vanga vasingade kutengesa nemitengo yakaderera, uye vaitoratidza kunge vari mumhepo.Musika wacho wakakurumidza kusimuka kusvika pa6200 yuan/ton.Zvisinei, mushure memutengo wakakwirira, kutevera kwepasi kwakange kusina simba.Vamwe vatengesi vakasarudza kutora purofiti, uye vavariro dzavo dzekutumira dzakawedzera.Misika yacho yakawira zvishoma, asi sezvo nhamba yechiteshi ichiramba ichiderera, Pakati pegore, manzwiro emusika akaramba achivandudza, mitengo yemabhizimisi yakasimuka ichitevedzana, uye misika yeacetone yakaratidza kushanda kwakasimba.Kubva mukupera kwezuva, mamiriro emusika akatanga kupera simba.Iyo yakadzika bisphenol A uye isopropanol misika yakaramba ichidzokera shure, uye kuvimba kwemamwe mabhizinesi kwakasununguka.Uyezve, zvikepe zvaisvika pachiteshi zvakaburutswa zvakatevedzana.Mamiriro ezvinhu akaoma ekupa nzvimbo akaderedzwa, kudiwa kwepasi kwakadzikira, uye musika wakadzikira zvishoma nezvishoma.
Zvinotarisirwa kuti musika weacetone uchave usina simba munaNovember.Kunyangwe iyo 650000 t/a phenol uye ketone chirimwa cheNingbo Taihua chatanga kugadziridzwa, iyo 300000 t/a phenol uye ketone chirimwa muChangshu Changchun inorongwa kutangazve pakati paNovember, uye phenol neketone chirimwa chine purofiti yakanaka.Pachine nzvimbo yekuvandudza mumidziyo yemumba.Zvizhinji zvezvigadzirwa zvezasi zvichiri zvisina kusimba.Zvinangwa zvekutenga zvepasi zvine hungwaru.Kazhinji, zvinotarisirwa kuti musika weacetone uchaderera zvine musoro munaNovember.
Bisphenol A: Muna Gumiguru, musika wepamba webisphenol A wakadonha kutanga ukazosimuka.Pakutanga kwemwedzi, nekuda kwekuwedzera kwefekitari yezvigadzirwa panguva yezororo, misika yakanga yakagadzikana uye isina simba.Chimiro chekumirira-uye-kuona chinorema.Pakati pemwedzi uno, Zhejiang Petrochemical yakaita post festival auction, uye mutengo wakaramba uchidonha, izvo zvakave nemigumisiro yakaipa pamusika webisphenol A.Mushure memutambo, mutoro weSinopec Mitsui unit wakawedzera mushure mekutangazve, uye mutoro wePingmei Shenma unit wakawedzera.Mushure memutambo, chiyero chekushanda kwebisphenol A indasitiri yakawedzera, uye kugoverwa kunotarisirwa kuwedzera.Mukuwedzera, mushure memutambo, mutengo we phenol wakasimuka zvishoma, uchiratidza kuderera.Kudzika PC uye epoxy resin yakaramba ichidzikira, iyo yaive neimwe mhedzisiro pabisphenol A, kunyanya ichidonha pakati pemwedzi.Pakupera kwemwedzi, mushure mekupedzwa kwekudzikazve kwakadzika, kufarira kutenga kwakadzikira, uye kutenderera kutsva kwekondirakiti kwakatanga pakupera kwemwedzi.Kudzika kwakadzika kwainyanya kudya zvibvumirano.Kuchinja kwemirairo mitsva kwakanga kusina kukwana, uye kukurumidza kweBPA kukwira kwakanga kusina kukwana, uye mutengo wakatanga kuderera.Nenguva yekupedzisira, iyo referensi nhaurirano yeEast China bisphenol A musika yaive yakatenderedza 16300-16500 yuan/ton, uye mutengo wepakati pevhiki wakakwira 12.94% mwedzi pamwedzi.
Zvinotarisirwa kuti musika weBisphenol A ucharamba uchidzikira muna Mbudzi.Tsigiro yeraw material phenol ketone ye bisphenol A haina kusimba.Kukanganiswa nekuderera kwakanyanya mumusika muna Gumiguru, iyo musika webearish mamiriro ezvakagadzirwa zvinhu zvinoverengera vazhinji, uye hapana nhau dzakanaka dzekutsigira musika.Musika wacho hauna simba, uye mukana wekugadzirisa wakakura.Teerera zvakanyanya kune shanduko mukugovera uye kudiwa.

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