Muhafu yekutanga ya2022, musika wemumba ethylene glycol uchachinja-chinja mumutambo wemutengo wakakwira uye kudiwa kwakaderera.Mumamiriro ezvinhu emakakatanwa pakati peRussia neUkraine, mutengo wemafuta asina kuchena wakaramba uchikwira muhafu yekutanga yegore, zvichikonzera kukwira kwemutengo wezvigadzirwa uye kuwedzera kwemutengo pakati penaphtha uye ethylene glycol.
Kunyangwe pasi pekumanikidzwa kwemutengo, mafekitori mazhinji ethylene glycol akarerutsa mutoro wavo, kuenderera mberi kwedenda reCCIDID-19 kwakonzera kuderera kukuru kwekuda kwekupedzisira, kuenderera mberi kushaya simba mukuda kwe ethylene glycol, kuenderera mberi kwekuunganidza kwechiteshi chengarava, uye hutsva hutsva. gore rakakwirira.Mutengo weethylene glycol wakachinja-chinja mumutambo pakati pekumanikidzwa kwemutengo uye kusasimba uye kudiwa, uye zvakanyanya kuchinja pakati pe4500-5800 yuan/ton muhafu yekutanga yegore.Nekuramba kuri kuviriswa kwedambudziko rekuderera kwehupfumi hwenyika, kudonha kwemitengo yemafuta asina kuchena remangwana kwadzikira, uye rutsigiro rwedivi remutengo rwaderera.Nekudaro, kudiwa kwepolyester yepasi kwakaramba kuchine husimbe.Nekumanikidzwa kwemari, misika ye ethylene glycol yakawedzera kuderera kwayo muhafu yechipiri yegore, uye mutengo wacho wakaramba uchirova zvitsva mugore.Pakutanga kwaNovember 2022, mutengo wakaderera wakawira ku3740 yuan/ton.
Kutsiga kuvhurwa kwehutsva hwekugadzira uye kuwedzera mudzimba kuwanikwa
Kubva 2020, indasitiri yeChina ethylene glycol yapinda mune nyowani yekuwedzera kugadzirwa kutenderera.Midziyo yakabatanidzwa ndiyo simba guru rekukura kwe ethylene glycol kugadzirwa kwesimba.Nekudaro, muna 2022, kugadzirwa kwezvikamu zvakabatanidzwa kuchanyanya kumiswa, uye chete Zhenhai Petrochemical Phase II uye Zhejiang Petrochemical Unit 3 ndiyo ichaiswa mukushanda.Kukura kwesimba rekugadzira muna 2022 kuchanyanya kubva kuzvirimwa zvemarasha.
Pakupera kwaMbudzi 2022, ethylene glycol yekugadzira yeChina yasvika 24.585 miriyoni matani, gore negore kuwedzera kwe27%, kusanganisira anenge 3.7 miriyoni matani emagetsi matsva ekugadzira marasha.
Zvinoenderana nemusika wekutarisa data weBazi reCommerce, kubva muna Ndira kusvika Mbudzi 2022, mutengo wemazuva ese wemarasha emagetsi munyika yose ucharamba uri mukati meiyo 891-1016 yuan/ton.Mutengo wemarasha wakachinja zvakanyanya muhafu yekutanga yegore, uye maitiro acho aive akadzikama muhafu yechipiri.
Geopolitical ngozi, iyo COVID-19 uye mutemo wemari weFederal Reserve wakatonga simba rakasimba remafuta asina kuchena epasi rose muna 2022. haana tariro.Nekuda kwekusasimba kudiwa uye kukanganisa kwepakati pekugadzirwa kwepamhepo kwesimba kutsva gore rino, chiyero chekushanda kwezvidyarwa zvemarasha glycol chakadonha kusvika pa30% mukota yechitatu, uye basa repagore rekushandisa uye purofiti zvaive zvakaderera zvakanyanya pane zvaitarisirwa nemusika.
Iyo yakazara kuburitsa kwemamwe marasha ekugadzira masimba akaunzwa muhafu yechipiri ya2022 ishoma.Pasi pechimiro chekushanda kwakagadzikana, kudzvanywa padivi rekupa marasha kunogona kuwedzera kudzika muna 2023.
Pamusoro pezvo, akawanda matsva ethylene glycol units akarongwa kuiswa mukushanda muna 2023, uye zvinofungidzirwa kuti kukura kwehuwandu hwekugadzira ethylene glycol muChina kucharamba kuine makumi maviri muzana muna 2023.

Masangano ezvemari epasi rose anofanotaura kuti mutengo wemafuta epasi rose ucharamba uri padanho repamusoro muna 2023, kudzvanywa kwemitengo yakakwira kucharamba kuripo, uye kutanga mutoro we ethylene glycol ungave wakaoma kuwedzera, izvo zvinotadzisa kukura kwehupfumi hwepamba. kusvika pamwero wakati.
Zvakaoma kuwedzera vhoriyamu yekupinza, uye kutsamira kune kunze kwenyika kana kuwedzera kudzikira
Kubva munaNdira kusvika munaNovember 2022, China ethylene glycol yekupinda vhoriyamu ichave 6.96 miriyoni matani, 10% yakaderera pane imwe nguva gore rapfuura.
Nyatsotarisa kune data rekupinza.Kunze kweSaudi Arabia, Canada neUnited States, huwandu hwekupinza kwezvimwe zvinhu kunze kwenyika hwadzikira.Huwandu hwekutorwa kweTaiwan,

Singapore nedzimwe nzvimbo dzakadonha zvakanyanya.

Kune rimwe divi, kuderera kwekutengesa kunze kwenyika kunokonzerwa nekumanikidzwa kwemutengo, uye yakawanda yemidziyo yakatanga kudzikira.Nekune rimwe divi, nekuda kwekudzikira kuri kuramba kuchiita mitengo yeChina, shungu dzevatengesi dzekutengesa kunze kwenyika kuChina dzadzikira zvakanyanya.Chechitatu, nekuda kwekusasimba kwemusika weChina wepolyester, kutanga kwemidziyo kwakadzikira, uye kudiwa kwezvinhu zvakatanga kuderera.
Muna 2022, kutsamira kweChina kune ethylene glycol kunze kwenyika kuchadzikira kusvika 39.6%, uye inotarisirwa kuramba ichidzikira muna 2023.
Zvinonzi OPEC + inogona kuramba ichidzikisira kugadzirwa gare gare, uye kupihwa kwezvinhu muMiddle East kunenge kuchiri kushoma.Pasi pekumanikidzwa kwemutengo, kuvakwa kwemiti yekunze ethylene glycol, kunyanya iyo muAsia, yakaoma kuvandudza zvakanyanya.Pamusoro pezvo, vatengesi vacharamba vachiisa pamberi kune mamwe matunhu.Zvinonzi vamwe vatengesi vachadzikisa zvibvumirano zvavo nevatengi veChinese panguva yekukurukurirana kwekondirakiti muna 2023.
Panyaya yehuwandu hutsva hwekugadzira, India neIran dzinoronga kuvhura musika mukupera kwa2022 uye kutanga kwa2023. Huru hwekugadzira hweIndia huchiri kupihwa zvakanyanya munharaunda, uye kunyanya kwemidziyo yeIran kuunza kuChina inogona kunge ishoma.
Kudiwa kusina kusimba muEurope neUnited States kunoganhurira mikana yekutengesa kunze kwenyika
Zvinoenderana nedata kubva kuICIS kugovera uye kudiwa dhatabhesi, kubva muna Ndira kusvika Mbudzi 2022, China ethylene glycol vhoriyamu yekuburitsa ichave 38500 matani, pasi 69% zvichienzaniswa nenguva yakafanana gore rapfuura.
Tichitarisisa data rekutumira kunze, muna 2022, China yakawedzera kutengesa kwayo kuBangladesh, uye panosvika 2021, kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kweEurope neTürkiye, iyo huru yekuenda kunze kwenyika, ichaderera zvakanyanya.Kune rimwe divi, nekuda kwekusasimba kwese kwekuda kwemhiri kwemakungwa, kune rumwe rutivi, nekuda kweiyo yakasimba yekufambisa kugona, kutakura kwakakwira.

Nekuwedzera kwekuwedzera kwemidziyo yeChina, zvakakosha kubuda mukukanda.Nekurerutsira kwekusangana uye kuwedzera kwehuwandu hwekufambisa, huwandu hwekutakura hunogona kuramba huchidzikira muna 2023, izvo zvichabatsirawo musika wekunze.
Nekudaro, kana hupfumi hwepasi rose hwapinda mukuderera kwehupfumi, kudiwa kweEurope neUnited States kungave kwakaoma kuvandudza zvakanyanya uye kuramba kuchiganhurira China ethylene glycol kunze kwenyika.Vatengesi veChinese vanofanirwa kutsvaga mikana yekutumira kunze kune mamwe matunhu ari kusimukira.
Demand growth rate yakaderera pane kupa
Muna 2022, hutsva hutsva hwepolyester huchave hunenge mamiriyoni 4.55 emamiriyoni, nekukura kwegore negore kunosvika 7%, iyo ichiri kutungamirirwa nekuwedzera kwemabhizinesi epolyester.Zvinonzi michina mizhinji yairongwa kutanga kuiswa mukugadzira gore rino yakanonoka.
Mamiriro ese emusika wepolyester muna 2022 haagutsi.Kuenderera mberi kwekubuda kwedenda kune kukanganisa kwakakura pane iyo terminal inoda.Izvo zvisina kusimba zvemumba zvinodiwa uye kunze kwenyika zvaita kuti chirimwa chepolyester chiwande.Kutanga kwechirongwa ichi kwakaderera zvikuru pane nguva imwe cheteyo gore rapfuura.

Mumamiriro ezvinhu ehupfumi aripo, vatori vechikamu vemusika havana chivimbo mukudiwa kwekudzorerwa.Kunyangwe hutsva hwepolyester hunogona kuiswa mukushanda nenguva chinhu chikuru chakasiyana, kunyanya kune zvimwe midziyo midiki.Muna 2023, hutsva hwepolyester hunogona kuramba huri pa4-5 mamiriyoni ematani / gore, uye chiyero chekukura chinogona kuramba chiri pa7%.

Chemwinikemikari raw material yekutengesa kambani muChina, iri muShanghai Pudong New Area, ine network yezviteshi, zviteshi, nhandare dzendege uye njanji yekufambisa, uye ine makemikari uye ane njodzi matura emakemikari muShanghai, Guangzhou, Jiangyin, Dalian neNingbo Zhoushan, China. , ichichengetera matani anopfuura 50,000 emakemikari anogadzirwa gore rose, ane mugove wakakwana, unogamuchirwa kutenga uye kubvunza.chemwin email:service@skychemwin.comwhatsapp: 19117288062 Tel: +86 4008620777 +86 19117288062