Munguva yezororo reMay Day, musika wemafuta epasi rose wakadonha, nemusika wemafuta asina kuchena weUS uchidonha pasi pemadhora makumi matanhatu neshanu padhiramu, nekudzikira kwakawedzera kusvika pamadhora gumi padhiramu.Kune rumwe rutivi, chiitiko cheBank of America chakavhiringidza zvakare zvinhu zvine njodzi, nemafuta asina kuchena achiona kuderera kwakanyanya mumusika wezvigadzirwa;Nekune rimwe divi, Federal Reserve yakasimudza mhindu nemakumi maviri neshanu mapoinzi sezvakarongwa, uye misika yave kunetseka zvakare nezve njodzi yekuderera kwehupfumi.Mune ramangwana, mushure mekuburitswa kwenjodzi, musika unotarisirwa kudzikama, nerutsigiro rwakasimba kubva kumatanho ekutanga akaderera, uye kutarisa kudzikisa kugadzirwa.

Crude oil trend

 

Mafuta asina kuchena akawana kuderera kwe11.3% panguva yezororo reMay Day
Musi waChivabvu 1, mutengo wakazara wemafuta asina kuchena wakachinja-chinja, neUS crude oil ichichinja-chinja madhora makumi manomwe neshanu padhiramu pasina kudzikira zvakanyanya.Zvisinei, kubva pakuona kwehuwandu hwekutengesa, yakanyanya kuderera kudarika nguva yapfuura, zvichiratidza kuti misika yakasarudza kumirira uye kuona, kumirira sarudzo yeFed inotevera yekukwira.
Sezvo Bank of America yakasangana nerimwe dambudziko uye musika wakatora matanho ekutanga kubva pakumirira-uye-kuona maonero, mitengo yemafuta asina kuchena yakatanga kudonha musi wa2 Chivabvu, ichisvika padanho rakakosha remadhora makumi manomwe pabhari pazuva rimwe chete.Musi waChivabvu 3, Federal Reserve yakazivisa kukwira kwemitengo yemitengo makumi maviri neshanu, zvichikonzera kuti mitengo yemafuta asina kuchena ideredze zvakare, uye mafuta asina kuchena eUS ari pazasi pechikumbaridzo chakakosha chemadhora makumi manomwe padhiramu.Pakavhurwa musika musi wa4 Chivabvu, mafuta asina kuchena eUS akatodonha kusvika pamadhora mazana matanhatu nemakumi matanhatu nenhanhatu padhiramu ndokutanga kudzoka.
Naizvozvo, mumazuva mana apfuura ekutengesa, kudonha kwemitengo yemafuta isina kuchena kwepamusoro-soro kwakakwira kusvika pamadhora gumi padhiramu, kupedzisa kudzoserwa kwepamusoro kwakaunzwa nekudzikiswa kwekutanga kwekuzvidira neUnited Nations seSaudi Arabia.
Zvinetso zvekuderera kwehupfumi ndizvo zvinonyanya kutyaira
Tichitarisa kumashure mukupera kwaKurume, mitengo yemafuta asina kuchena yakaramba ichidzikira nekuda kwechiitiko cheBank of America, nemitengo yemafuta asina kuchena yeUS ichirova madhora makumi matanhatu neshanu padhiramu pane imwe nguva.Kuitira kushandura tarisiro isina tariro panguva iyoyo, Saudi Arabia yakashanda pamwe nenyika dzakawanda kuderedza kugadzirwa nemiriyoni 1.6 madhiramu pazuva, vachitarisira kuchengetedza mitengo yakakwira yemafuta kuburikidza nekusimbisa mativi;Nekune rumwe rutivi, Federal Reserve yakashandura tarisiro yayo yekukwidza mhindu ne50 basis points muna Kurume uye yakashandura mashandiro ayo ekukwidza mhindu ne25 basis points imwe neimwe munaKurume naChivabvu, zvichideredza hupfumi hwemacroeconomic.Naizvozvo, zvichisundwa nezvinhu zviviri zvakanaka izvi, mitengo yemafuta asina kuchena yakakurumidza kudzika kubva pakudzikira, uye mafuta asina kuomeswa eUS akadzokera pakudzikira kwemadhora makumi masere padhiramu.
Izvo zvakakosha zveBank of America chiitiko imari yemari.Iwo akatevedzana ezviito neFederal Reserve nehurumende yeUS inogona kungononoka kuburitswa kwenjodzi zvakanyanya sezvinobvira, asi haigone kugadzirisa njodzi.NeFederal Reserve ichikwidza mhindu nemamwe makumi maviri neshanu mapoinzi, mibairo yeUS inoramba yakakwirisa uye njodzi yekushaikwa kwemari inoonekwa zvakare.
Naizvozvo, mushure merimwe dambudziko neBank of America, Federal Reserve yakasimudza mhindu ne25 basis points sezvakarongwa.Zvinhu zviviri izvi zvisina kunaka zvakaita kuti musika uzvinetse nezve njodzi yekuderera kwehupfumi, zvichikonzera kudzikira kwekukosha kwezvinhu zvine njodzi uye kudzikira kwakanyanya kwemafuta asina kuchena.
Mushure mekuderera kwemafuta asina kuchena, kukura kwakanaka kwakaunzwa nekutanga kuderedzwa kwekugadzirwa kwemubatanidzwa neSaudi Arabia nevamwe kwakapedzwa.Izvi zvinoratidza kuti mumusika wazvino weoiri isina kuchena, iyo macro inotonga pfungwa yakasimba zvakanyanya kupfuura yakakosha yekudzikisa girodhi.
Kutsigira kwakasimba kubva pakuderedzwa kwekugadzirwa, kugadzikana mune ramangwana
Mitengo yemafuta asina kuchena icharamba ichidzika here?Zviripachena, kubva kune yakakosha uye yekugovera maonero, pane yakajeka rutsigiro pazasi.
Kubva pamaonero ezvimiro zveoiri, kudzikisirwa kwemafuta emafuta eUS kunoenderera mberi, kunyanya nekuderera kwemafuta asina kukora.Kunyangwe iyo United States ichizounganidza nekuchengetedza mune ramangwana, kuunganidzwa kwezvinyorwa kunononoka.Mutengo unoderera pasi pezvinyorwa zvakaderera zvinowanzoratidza kuderera kwekupikisa.
Kubva pakuona kwekupa, Saudi Arabia ichadzikisa kugadzirwa muna Chivabvu.Nekuda kwekunetsekana kwemusika nezve njodzi yekuderera kwehupfumi, kudzikiswa kwekugadzira kweSaudi Arabia kunogona kusimudzira mwero pakati pekupa uye kudiwa zvichipesana nekumashure kwekuderera kwekudiwa, zvichipa rutsigiro rwakakura.
Kudzikira kunokonzerwa nekudzvanywa kwehupfumi kunoda kutarisisa kune kudzikira kwedivi rekuda mumusika wenyama.Kunyangwe musika wenzvimbo ukaratidza zviratidzo zvekushaya simba, OPEC + inotarisira kuti maitiro ekudzikisa kugadzirwa muSaudi Arabia nedzimwe nyika anogona kupa rutsigiro rwakasimba rwepasi.Naizvozvo, mushure mekuburitswa kunotevera kwengozi, zvinotarisirwa kuti mafuta asina kuchena eUS agadzikane uye achengetedze shanduko yemadhora makumi matanhatu neshanu kusvika kumadhora makumi manomwe pabhari.


Nguva yekutumira: Chivabvu-06-2023