Parizvino, musika wemakemikari weChinese uri kuchema kwese kwese.Mumwedzi gumi yapfuura, makemikari akawanda muChina akaratidza kuderera kukuru.Mamwe makemikari adzikira neinopfuura 60%, nepo kuwanda kwemakemikari kwadzikira neinopfuura 30%.Mazhinji makemikari akarova mitsva yakaderera mugore rapfuura, nepo makemikari mashoma akarova mitsva yakaderera mumakore gumi apfuura.Zvinogona kutaurwa kuti ichangoburwa kuita kwemusika wemakemikari weChinese kwave kwakasviba.
Zvinoenderana nekuongorora, zvikonzero zvikuru zvekuenderera kuderera kwemakemikari mugore rapfuura ndezvizvi:
1. Kupesana kwemusika wevatengi, kunomiririrwa neUnited States, kwakave nekukanganisa kukuru pakushandiswa kwemakemikari pasi rose.
Sekureva kweAgence France Presse, iyo indekisi yeruzivo rwevatengi muUnited States yakadonha kusvika kumwedzi we9-yakaderera mukota yekutanga, uye mhuri dzakawanda dzinotarisira kushandiswa kwehupfumi kuramba kuchiderera.Kudzikira kweindekisi yeruzivo rwevatengi kunowanzoreva kuti kushushikana nekuderera kwehupfumi kuri kuramba kuchiwedzera, uye mhuri zhinji dziri kudzikisira mashandisiro adzo kugadzirira kuenderera mberi kuderera kwehupfumi mune ramangwana.
Chikonzero chikuru chekuderera kweruzivo rwevatengi muUnited States kuderera kweiyo real estate net kukosha.Kureva kuti, kukosha kwezvivakwa muUnited States kwatove kuderera pane chiyero chechikwereti chechikwereti, uye real estate yave insolvent.Kune vanhu ava, vanosunga bhandi ravo voramba vachibhadhara zvikwereti zvavo, kana kusiya nzvimbo yavo kuti varege kubhadhara zvikwereti zvavo, izvo zvinodaidzwa kuti foreclosure.Vazhinji vanokwikwidza vanosarudza kusunga mabhandi avo kuti varambe vachibhadhara zvikwereti, izvo zvinodzvinyirira musika wevatengi.
United States ndiyo musika mukuru wevatengi pasi rose.Muna 2022, iyo US gross chigadzirwa chaive $22.94 trillion, ichiri chikuru pasirese.Vanhu vekuAmerica vane mari yegore negore inosvika madhora zviuru zvishanu uye kushandiswa kwekutengesa kwepasirese kunosvika madhora madhora zviuru zvishanu.Kudzikira kwemusika wevatengi vekuUS kwave nekukanganisa kwakanyanya pakudzikira kwechigadzirwa nekushandiswa kwemakemikari, kunyanya pamakemikari anotengeswa kunze kwenyika kubva kuChina kuenda kuUnited States.
2. Dzvinyiriro huru yehupfumi yakaunzwa nekuderera kwemusika wevatengi weUS yakakwevera pasi kuderera kwehupfumi hwenyika.
Gwaro reWorld Bank richangoburwa neGlobal Economic Prospects report rakadzikisa fungidziro yekukura kwehupfumi hwenyika muna 2023 kusvika pa1.7%, kudzikira kwe1.3% kubva pakufanotaura kwaChikumi 2020 uye yechitatu yakaderera mumakore makumi matatu apfuura.Chirevo ichi chinoratidza kuti nekuda kwezvinhu zvakaita sekukwira kwemitengo, kukwira kwemitengo, kuderedzwa kwekudyara, uye kusawirirana kwezvematongerwo enyika, kukura kwehupfumi hwenyika kuri kukurumidza kudzika kusvika padanho rine njodzi pedyo nekudzikira.
Mutungamiri weWorld Bank Maguire akataura kuti hupfumi hwenyika hwakatarisana ne "dambudziko riri kuramba richikura mubudiriro" uye zvipingamupinyi zvebudiriro yepasi rose zvinogona kuenderera mberi.Sezvo kukura kwehupfumi hwenyika kunodzikira, inflation kuUnited States inowedzera, uye dambudziko rechikwereti rinowedzera, izvo zvave nemhedzisiro pamusika wevatengi wepasi rose.
3. Kuwanikwa kwemakemikari ekuChina kuri kuramba kuchikura, uye makemikari mazhinji anotarisana nekupokana kwakanyanya kwekuda kwekupa.
Kubva mukupera kwa2022 kusvika pakati pa2023, akawanda mahombe emakemikari mapurojekiti muChina akaiswa mukushanda.Pakupera kwaNyamavhuvhu 2022, Zhejiang Petrochemical yakanga yaisa mukushanda 1.4 miriyoni matani emiti ethylene gore negore, pamwe chete nekutsigira kuzasi kwe ethylene zvirimwa;MunaGunyana 2022, Lianyungang Petrochemical Ethane Project yakaiswa mukushanda uye yakashongedzerwa nemidziyo yakadzika;Pakupera kwaZvita 2022, Shenghong Refining uye Chemical's 16 miriyoni matani chirongwa chakaiswa mukushanda, ichiwedzera akawanda ezvigadzirwa zvemakemikari matsva;MunaFebruary 2023, Hainan mamiriyoni ton ethylene plant yakaiswa mukushanda, uye pasi pemvura inotsigira chirongwa chakabatanidzwa chakaiswa mukushanda;Pakupera kwa2022, iyo ethylene chirimwa cheShanghai Petrochemical ichaiswa mukushanda.Muna Chivabvu 2023, chirongwa cheTDI cheWanhua Chemical Group Fujian Industrial Park chichaiswa mukushanda.
Mugore rapfuura, China yakatanga akawanda emapurojekiti makuru emakemikari, achiwedzera kuwanikwa kwemusika kwemakumi emakemikari.Pasi pemusika wazvino uno usimbe wevatengi, kukura kwechikamu chekugovera mumusika wemakemikari weChinese kwawedzerawo kupokana kwekupa-kudiwa mumusika.
Pakazere, chikonzero chikuru chekudzikira kwenguva refu kwemitengo yechigadzirwa chemakemikari kushandiswa kweusimbe mumusika wepasi rose, izvo zvakonzera kudzikira kwechiyero chekutengesa kunze kwezvigadzirwa zvemakemikari eChina.Kubva pamaonero aya, zvinogonawo kuonekwa kuti kana kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kwemusika wekutengesa zvinhu kwakadzikira, kupokana-kwekuda kwekutengesa mumusika wevatengi veChina kunotungamira kuderera kwemitengo yezvigadzirwa zvemakemikari epamba.Kudzikira kwemitengo yemisika yepasirese kwakawedzera kukonzeresa kuumbwa kwekushaya simba mumusika wemakemikari weChina, nekudaro zvichiona kudzikira.Naizvozvo, iyo yemitengo yemusika hwaro uye bhenji yezvizhinji zvigadzirwa zvemakemikari muChina zvichiri kumanikidzwa nemusika wepasi rose, uye indasitiri yemakemikari yeChinese ichiri kumanikidzwa nemisika yekunze mune izvi.Saka, kuti ipedze iyo inoda kusvika gore imwe yekudzikira maitiro, pamusoro pekugadzirisa kwayo yega, ichavimbawo zvakanyanya nekudzoreredza hupfumi hwemisika yeperipheral.