Theacrylonitrileindasitiri yakaunza kutenderera kwekugona muna 2022, nehuwandu huchikura kupfuura 10% gore-pa-gore uye kuwedzera kumanikidza kwekupa.Panguva imwecheteyo, tinoona kuti rutivi rwekudiwa haruna kunaka sezvahunofanira kunge huri nekuda kwedenda, uye indasitiri inotungamirirwa nekuderera, ine mavara akajeka akaoma kuwana.

Data source: Goldlink

Musika wepamusha acrylonitrile muhafu yekutanga ya2022 wakaratidza kudzikira kwekutanga uchiteverwa nehuwandu hwakasiyana hweoscillation inotongwa.Tichitora musika weEast China semuenzaniso, mutengo wepakati muhafu yekutanga ye2022 yaive paRMB 11,455/ton, yakadzika 21.29% gore-pagore, nemutengo wepamusoro weRMB 13,100/ton, yakaitika muna Ndira, uye iyo yakaderera poindi yeRMB 10,800/ton, yakaitika muna Chikumi.

Zvinhu zvikuru zvinokanganisa musika ndezve.

I. Supply kuwedzera.2022 ichiri gore rekuwedzera kwemukati acrylonitrile, kuisa mukushanda 2 seti yemiti yeacrylonitrile ine huwandu hwe390,000 matani / gore, kusanganisira Lihua Yi 260,000 matani / gore uye Tianchen Qixiang 130,000 matani / gore.Kunyangwe huwandu hwekutengesa kunze kwenyika hwakakwira 12.1% gore-negore kubva muna Ndira kusvika Chivabvu, kupihwa uye kudiwa kuchiri kukura zvakasununguka.

Chechipiri, kudzokororwa kwedenda racho kwakakonzera kuwedzera kumanikidzwa kwezvigadzirwa zvefekitari.Kubva kupinda muna 2022 zvagara zviri muchikamu chekuwandisa, mabhizinesi nemagariro ezvekusangana zvakawedzera kuunganidza mushure mekuita kwedenda rakavhurwa pakupera kwekota yekutanga, zvinhu muEast China neShandong zvakamira, uye pakanga painewo nzvimbo hombe. yekudzikisa pasi uye kuvhara, mushure mekushaya simba kwekuda, acrylonitrile factory inventory pressure yave ichiwedzera, yakaramba ichideredza mutengo wekusimudzira mutengo.

Chechitatu, iyo indasitiri yepasi inoda kukura ishoma.150,000 matani / gore retsva LG Huizhou chirimwa chakawedzerwa kuABS muhafu yekutanga ya2022, tichishandisa chete 37,500 matani / gore rezvakagadzirwa acrylonitrile, saka kukura kwekudzika kwemvura kushoma pane kukura kwezvinhu mbishi, saka avhareji yekuvhura. ye acrylonitrile zvinomera muhafu yekutanga yegore iri pedyo ne80%, iyo inoratidza kuti chirimwa chekutengesa kudzvinyirira.

Muhafu yechipiri ya2022, musika weChina acrylonitrile uchaenderera mberi netsika yakaderera-yero oscillation, uye iyo yakazara nzvimbo yekugadzirisa ishoma.Mukuwedzera, acrylonitrile itsva yekugadzira simba yakawedzera zvakanyanya muhafu yechipiri yegore, uye huwandu hwezvinhu zvinopiwa hunogona kuramba huchikwira.Nekudaro, kudzika kwerwizi chete ABS inotarisirwa kuve nemidziyo mitsva yakaiswa mukushanda, iyo yese kudiwa ishoma, pasi pekusawirirana pakati pekupa uye kudiwa, acrylonitrile kupa uye kupokana kwekuda kucharamba kuchiwedzera, kana kuvhurwa kwefekitori kuchinetsawo kuwedzera, yakakura. mabhizinesi ekugona achatenga maitiro asina kunaka.Sezvo acrylonitrile kazhinji iri pasi pemutengo wemutengo, zvichiri kudikanwa kutarisisa maitiro eiyo mbishi propylene.Ex-factory mitengo (mitengo yemusika) inotarisirwa kuva muRMB 10,000-12,000 / mt mumatunhu makuru, nepamusoro pepamusoro zvichida kuitika muna August.

Mumusika weChina acrylonitrile muhafu yechipiri ya2022, feedstock propylene ndiyo inonyanya kukurudzira kuderera kwemitengo.Sezvo kuwedzera kwakakosha kwesimba rekugadzira muhafu yepiri yegore iri mhedziso yakafanotaurwa, zvakaoma kuve nemukana wakakosha wekutengesa mutengo muhafu yechipiri.Nokudaro, mutengo wezvigadzirwa zvepropylene zvichave zvakakosha pakuona mutengo weacrylonitrile.Kana propylene ikagara pedyo neRMB 8,000 / mt, zvichange zvakaoma kuti acrylonitrile irambe ichidonha.Nekudaro, kana mutengo wepropylene ukaramba uchidonha, mutengo weacrylonitrile ucharamba uine mukana wekuderera pasi pekumanikidzwa kwekuwandisa.

Kubva ku2022 kusvika ku2023, China ichawedzera 1.38 mamiriyoni ematoni / gore yemiti yeacrylonitrile, uye mazhinji acho ari kuchenesa uye makemikari akabatanidzwa anotsigira zvishandiso, izvo zvinowanzoiswa mukushanda.Nekudaro, kudzika kwemvura chete ABS iri kukura nekukurumidza, senge acrylics uye acrylamide vari munzvimbo inodziya, izvo zvinozogadzira mamiriro ekuwandisa.Zvinotarisirwa kuti mumakore matatu anotevera, nekuwedzera kweacrylonitrile simba, purofiti yeindasitiri inodzikira, uye zvimwe zvezvimisikidzo zvitsva zviri kutarisana nemukana wekunonoka uye kushevha.

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